The predominance of conventional drivetrain technology in Mexican automotive industry is unlikely to change significantly in the near term. Retail sales of light-duty passenger electric vehicles, in absence of subsidies, are out of mass market adoption and are restricted to select imported products and models. The progress in the commercial segment, while encouraging, is still slower than other markets as it depends on the budgetary provisions of respective local authorities.
Belatedly, there are several policy announcements aimed at accelerating the transport electrification. This is encouraging for the industry considering the emerging opportunities. Yet, the investors and the industry stakeholders will seek concrete measures especially in terms of incentives. Despite the scope available in the Mexican ecosystem, the landscape changed after the US government’s recent legislation that offers incentives for indigenous sourcing. Also pertinent is the fact that even as Mexico attracts investments for manufacturing the electric vehicles, an absence of incentives could keep penetration level stagnant in the domestic market while production picks up to cater to the export market.
Beyond incentives, the country’s policy and regulatory framework needs a coherence to set out the plan of action in transport electrification. For instance, there is no binding target for the conventional vehicles selling in the country. Same is true for any supply-side norms to align the manufacturers with policy goals. Furthermore, critical infrastructural requirements in public charging systems will require a concerted push in areas such as defining standards, provisioning for the grid power demand, power tariff structures and interoperability of charging networks.
With a lagging pace of charging stations, the fast-growing electric vehicle market is more likely to stay put on hybrid variety in passenger vehicles. At the same time, with the right steps and measures the country could look forward to secure investments from the leading global automakers for an export-oriented production hub. The mining industry can expect a similar fillip arising from the untapped potential in the critical minerals for global battery supply.